2026/27 rainfall season: drier than normal expected in the south and centre
Malawi's Department of Climate Change and Meteorological Services issued its 2026/27 seasonal rainfall outlook on 2 September 2026. It indicates a high chance of below-normal rainfall over most of the Southern and Central Regions for October to December, with normal to above-normal rainfall over much of the North. The January to March period follows the same pattern, with Mzimba and parts of Rumphi leaning normal to below-normal. The department associates this with a strong El Niño and warns of a later, more erratic onset and longer dry spells.
For a traveller this mostly reads as a longer, more reliable dry season rather than a problem. Green-season visitors should expect the rains to start later and behave less predictably than the month-by-month pattern below suggests.